Cookies Market

Cookies Market Outlook from 2025 to 2035

The cookies market is USD 43.1 billion in 2025. The industry will grow at a CAGR of 5.3% and reach USD 72.3 billion by 2035. The key driver for this growth is increasing demand for convenience snacking foods, particularly from younger generations and health-conscious consumers, combined with increased innovation in flavor trends, functional ingredients, and healthier product formats.

The global cookies market is under the midst of revolutionary change with consumers more and more seeking to indulge yet healthier snacking options. Increasing numbers of consumers are turning towards organic, gluten-free, vegan, and high-protein content-based driven by dietary requirements and evolving lifestyles.

Companies providing functional benefits, like high fiber, digestive health, or lower sugar content foods, are performing extremely well in urban industries in developed and emerging economies. Moreover, the trend of premiumization, like gourmet and artisanal, is adding new dimensions to growth.

Western markets, including North America and Europe, remain the hub of cookie consumption, led by a snacking culture of regularity and love for baked foods. Asia Pacific is witnessing the highest expansion, led by urbanization, increased disposable incomes, and westernized dietary trends among millennials and Gen Z consumers.

Local flavors such as matcha, red bean, or tropical fruits are popularizing with local innovations. Consumer focus on sustainability is also forcing companies to emphasize sustainably packaged products and ethically sourced ingredients. Technology is rapidly emerging as an industry-expansion driver. Companies are employing data analytics and AI to predict flavor trends and customize marketing.

Online platforms are becoming major channels of sales, especially in post-pandemic economies, allowing brands to offer subscription models, gift packs, and customizable product lines. Digital-native brands are increasingly disrupting conventional bakery players by focusing on direct-to-consumer relationships, faster delivery models, and more immersive brand experiences.

While the cookies market has a positive outlook, it is also faced with challenges such as fluctuating raw material prices, stringent food safety regulations, and fierce competition between premium and mass brands. In the fast-evolving international cookies market in the coming decade, the actual winners will be those companies which innovate quickly, change direction with health trends, and make smart use of technology to ensure supply chain efficiencies and personalizations.

Key Metrics

Metrics	Values
Estimated Global Size in 2025	USD 43.1 billion
Projected Global Size in 2035	USD 72.3 billion
CAGR (2025 to 2035)	5.3%

Fact.MR Survey Results: Industry Dynamics Based on Stakeholder Perspectives

Cookies market actors indicate that trends are on upgrading healthier product lines because 84% of them view better-for-you innovation as beneficial to wellbeing-driven consumers. An overwhelming 78% felt there is a need for indulgence to be balanced with function, which is why products now use ingredients such as protein, probiotics, and superfoods on their labels while catering to the preferences of increasingly changing palates.

Sustainability stays at the top of the agenda, with 69% of stakeholders placing environmentally friendly packaging and open-sourced sourcing at the forefront. Regional trends indicate North American brands are trending towards keto and low-sugar offerings, European competitors are emphasizing organic certification and clean-label innovation, and Asia-Pacific brands are focusing on affordability with a premium quality aspect.

Technology adoption is changing the industry, with 62% of businesses employing AI to monitor flavor trends and European firms increasingly employing blockchain for supply chain transparency. Supply chain volatility, particularly on the prices of dairy and cocoa, remains a challenge, impacting production schedules and costs.

77% of the stakeholders intend making huge investments in R&D in plant-based options, personalized products, and sustainably sourced ingredients. Regulatory changes surrounding labeling and advertising are nudging brands towards reformulation and rebranding along healthier lines. Firms adopting ingredient innovation, using high-end technology, and building out direct-to-consumer models are likely to hold sway over the competitive landscape in the global cookies market in the decade ahead.

Shifts in the Market from 2020 to 2024 and Future Trends 2025 to 2035

The cookies market grew strongly between 2020 and 2024 due to higher consumption of snacks across the COVID-19 pandemic as people remained indoors. There was strong demand for treats that are indulgent, with comfort foods being favored by most consumers. Also required were healthier options such as gluten-free, reduced-sugar, and vegan options, a move towards health and wellness among the consumers.

Consumers were moving in the direction of innovation in pack, taste, and cookie size, with food companies providing wider varieties to address changing tastes and nutritional needs. The online shopping channel became an indispensable sales channel in this period since online shopping was on the rise.

The cookies market is going to undergo change in the future, that is, in the period of 2025 to 2035, with health-oriented and eco-friendly innovations focusing more. Natural ingredient-based, clean-label foods with reduced sugar intake, functional effects like added fiber, protein, and vitamins will continue to rise in popularity.

Plant-based and allergen-free will become increasingly popular, in line with increasing demand for vegan and allergen-aware diets. Sustainability will also be a significant factor, as consumers become more interested in brands that are environmentally friendly in their packaging, sustainably source ingredients, and minimize food waste.

Technology will also play an important part, with innovations like automation in manufacturing and distribution, which will make operations more efficient, and further expansion of e-commerce to generate new opportunities for brand building. The future cookies market will be a mix of innovation around flavor, health, and sustainability to win over an increasingly sophisticated, eco-sensitive, and health-driven consumer base.

Comparative Market Shift Analysis (2020 to 2024 vs. 2025 to 2035)

2020 to 2024	2025 to 2035
Increased snacking during the pandemic, greater demand for indulgent cookies	Continued emphasis on healthier, functional snacks, plant-based and allergen-free options, sustainability
High demand for comfort foods, indulgent, and convenience	Increasing preference for low-sugar, gluten-free, vegan, and functional with added health benefits
Greater diversity in flavor, healthier formulations, and premium segment	Greater innovations in clean-label products, plant-based ingredients, protein-rich
Limited attention to sustainability, some brands considering eco-friendly packaging	Extreme importance attached to eco-friendly packaging, sustainable sourcing of ingredients, and minimizing food waste
Increasing demand for healthier substitutes (gluten-free, reduced sugar, vegan)	High demand with enhanced health benefits like protein, fiber, vitamins, and antioxidants
High growth in online retail channels during the pandemic	Further growth of e-commerce, with even more brands turning to direct-to-consumer models
Heavy dependence on conventional retail and supermarkets, higher e-commerce uptake	Improved e-commerce platforms, subscription services, and direct-to-consumer delivery
Enhancements in packaging and production to promote convenience and shelf life	Increment in automation, AI for flavor creation, and packaging technology to facilitate sustainability

Country-wise Analysis

Countries	CAGR (2025 to 2035)
U.S.	6.2%
U.K.	5.4%
France	5.1%
Germany	4.8%
Italy	4.5%
South Korea	6%
Japan	4.7%
China	7.3%
Australia-New Zealand	5%

The U.S.

The U.S. cookies market is anticipated to advance at 6.2% CAGR throughout the study. The demand is fueled by increasing consumer demand for convenient snack foods, indulgent foods, and premium bakery items. Health-oriented consumers are also supporting growth in the low-sugar, gluten-free, and organic cookie segments.

Manufacturers are getting creative with ingredients, packaging, and flavors to grab the interest of various consumer segments, such as millennials and Gen Z. The dominance of large brands and growing e-commerce channels further fuel industry growth. Seasonal sales, limited-edition products, and a growing emphasis on sustainable sourcing are also driving buying behavior.

U.K.

The U.K. cookies market will grow at 5.4% CAGR over the study period. Demand is driven by a long-standing culture of tea-time cookie consumption and a high preference for artisanal and premium brands. The rising demand for vegan, plant-based, and gluten-free options is redefining the product mix. British consumers have a high affinity for organic and sustainably sourced ingredients, which is encouraging manufacturers to re-imagine classic recipes.

Private label store brands in supermarkets are also on the rise, providing competitively priced premium choices. Direct-to-consumer and online retail platforms are considerably increasing industry penetration and accessibility.

France

The French cookies market is anticipated to grow at 5.1% CAGR over the forecast period. Growing consumer demand for gourmet and artisanal, combined with demand for natural and organic ingredients, is fueling industry expansion. Authenticity, quality, and tradition are highly valued in the French industry, impacting product innovation.

Moreover, the demand for healthier cookie alternatives with less sugar, high fiber, and functional properties is increasing. Local bakeries and niche brands are capitalizing on regional flavors and traditions to win over domestic and international consumers. Online channels are contributing significantly to widening the visibility of niche brands.

Germany

The German cookies market will grow at 4.8% CAGR during the forecast period. Health-aware consumption and increasing demand for organic, sugar-free, and gluten-free foods are driving the cookies market. Classic German pastries are still in fashion, but modern variations with functional ingredients are being accepted.

Environmental issues are encouraging firms to innovate with green packaging and ethically sourced products. Supermarkets and hypermarkets dominate the channels of distribution, with online grocery platforms reporting steady expansion. Premiumization trends are present, with consumers paying extra for distinctive flavors and artisanal quality.

Italy

The Italian cookies market is anticipated to grow at 4.5% CAGR over the study period. Italian bakery culture has a strong hold on cookie consumption, with a focus on artisanal quality, natural ingredients, and heritage recipes. Consumers are increasingly looking for healthier options, prompting manufacturers to create low-calorie, sugar-free, and organic versions.

Tourism is also a part of industry dynamics, increasing demand for high-quality, gift-friendly cookie products. New retail concepts and internet-based grocery shopping are widening reach, and new packaging and marketing approaches are drawing young consumers.

South Korea

South Korea's industry is forecasted to expand at 6% CAGR throughout the study. Urbanization, hectic lifestyle, and expanding café culture are all adding considerably to growth in the cookies market. South Korean consumers are extremely sensitive to new flavors and visually attractive products, so brands need to try out new ingredients and innovative designs.

Health trends are also taking precedence, so functional ingredients like collagen, probiotics, and superfoods have been introduced. Convenience stores, online shopping platforms, and specialty dessert shops are major distribution channels that increase product visibility and sales.

Japan

The Japanese cookies market is expected to grow at 4.7% CAGR during the study period. The industry reflects a preference for premium, small-batch, and high-quality options with sophisticated flavors. Traditional Japanese ingredients like matcha, yuzu, and red bean are increasingly incorporated into cookie innovations to cater to local tastes.

Health and wellness trends are influencing product development, with a noticeable shift toward low-sugar, low-fat, and functional. Convenience stores are a key driver of product availability, supplemented by increasing online sales. Gift culture also increases demand for attractively packaged, premium cookie varieties.

China

The Chinese cookies market is anticipated to expand at 7.3% CAGR throughout the research period. The emerging middle class, increasing disposable income, and strong preference towards Western-style snacks are driving fast industry growth. Demand for high-quality, imported, and health-focused is gaining pace, backed by a growing concern for nutrition and wellness.

Online platforms lead in sales, providing varied product ranges and promotion campaigns. Packaging innovations, flavor innovation, and limited-time collaborations with well-known brands and celebrities are highly appealing to young consumers, strongly propelling industry growth.

Australia-New Zealand

The Australia-New Zealand cookies market will grow at a 5% CAGR across the study period. Residents of the region prefer natural, organic, and clean-label products extensively, encouraging brands to get innovative with healthy ingredients and eco-friendly methods. Traditional cookies with wholesome local ingredients like macadamia nuts and local fruits are getting increasingly popular.

Healthy segments such as gluten-free, vegan, and high-protein options are growing fast. New retail forms, specialty food stores, and strong e-commerce networks are providing easy access to a vast assortment of cookie offerings, helping drive steady industry expansion.

Segment-wise Analysis

By Distribution Channel

In 2025, the cookies market by distribution channel will be dominated by offline sales, which account for 80% of the total industry share, while Online sales will capture about 20%.

Offline distribution remains the dominant channel due to the strong presence of traditional retail outlets, supermarkets, hypermarkets, and local grocery stores. Still, consumers buy them physically from stores because they want to be able to see and touch the packaging, add a few varieties, and take fresh cookies.

Some of the big retailers driving sales are Walmart, Carrefour, and Tesco, as well as their many cookie brands and a few regional, niche brands or smaller artisanal brands. Another advantage of the offline model is impulse purchases; consumers may sometimes pick up cookie packs when browsing other items. Promotions, discounts, and deals during these periods largely push consumers to spend more.

Although online distribution is developing, it accounts for only 20% of the total industry share. However, it is striving for rapid growth because of the easy availability of specialized products and increased convenience gained by people shopping through growing e-commerce marketplaces such as Amazon, Instacart, and Walmart.com. Hence, users are more and more enjoying crunching on and eating from the home sofa rather than going out.

Gone are the days when one had to go out to purchase cookies; this was made possible by the growing popularity of subscription services and brands such as direct-to-consumer (DTC) like Milk Bar and The Cookie Jar. Another thing going for online is that customers increasingly turn to online because they want to do things quickly, as well as get wonderful, unique, and customized varieties that the neighborhood doesn't have.

By Type

The cookies market by type is expected, in 2025, to be dominated by bar forms, capturing 35% of the total industry share, while drop forms account for 30%. Bar forms are expected to occupy a sizable industry share due to the aspects of easy preparation, versatility, and the consumer's need for convenience. Generally, these are baked in a pan and cut into bars, making them ideal for mass production and packaging. They are favored for their sturdiness and easy packaging in retail and commercial sectors, especially snack foods.

Brands, including Nestlé and Mondelez, promote bar forms in several flavors, such as chocolate chip, oatmeal, and peanut butter. The present consumer trend also sees wholesome, gluten-free, vegan, and sugar-free bar cookies gaining popularity.

Drop forms refer to cookies made just by dropping spoonfuls of dough down on a baking sheet; these will continue to boast a strong presence in the industry at about 30% industry share. Drop forms are classics; the famous chocolate chip, oatmeal, and Snickerdoodle never cease to be the consumers' favorites.

They often evoke memories of homemade treats for consumers nostalgic for these flavors or who simply prefer a "home-baked" taste. Famous names like Keebler and Pepperidge Farm have been perfecting the art of drop cookie-making with the continuing production of many flavors and textures to appeal to every type of consumer. Moreover, drop forms being a favorite among consumers in grocery and specialty outlets alike further cement their standing in the cookies market.

Competitive Outlook

The global cookies market remains fiercely competitive, with key players vying for dominance through strategic investments in brand strength, industry segmentation, and innovation. Mondelez International stands at the forefront, holding a commanding position with flagship brands like Oreo and Chips Ahoy!, which continue to lead across global industries.

With its strong distribution network, Mondelez has successfully expanded its presence in both established and emerging industries. Britannia Industries Ltd., capturing a significant industry share in South Asia, has a well-balanced portfolio that includes mass-market and premium offerings, ensuring broad consumer appeal. Its flagship brands, Britannia Marie and Good Day, are household names across India and other regions.

Campbell Soup Company, with its premium Pepperidge Farm brand, maintains a notable presence in the high-end cookie segment, especially in North America, where products like Milano and Sausalito are well-regarded for their premium quality. Ferrero Group continues to capture a sizable share, focusing on the luxury segment through products like Ferrero Rocher-branded cookies, appealing to an affluent consumer base.

PepsiCo Inc. has further diversified the industry by tapping into health-conscious segments with its Quaker brand, offering cookies with an emphasis on nutritional benefits. These players, along with other significant brands like Nestlé and McKee Foods, form a competitive environment where innovation, consumer preferences, and strategic positioning influence industry share.

Market Share Analysis by Company

Company Name	Market Share (%)
Mondelez International	20-25%
Britannia Industries Ltd.	15-20%
Campbell Soup Company	10-15%
Ferrero Group	8-12%
PepsiCo Inc.	7-10%
Other Players	30-40%

Key Company Insights

Mondelez International commands a large share in the global cookies market, with between 20-25% share, and the traditional dominance is stated to be with popular brands like Oreo and Chips Ahoy! Through its vast and sprawling global operations and strong loyalty, Mondelez can stand to develop a portfolio of products continuously for evolving tastes and forge into up-industry seasonal categories to broaden its reach to other segmentations.

Britannia Industries Ltd. is a significant contributor to the Indian and South Asian industries, holding about 15-20% of the industry. Its cookies focus on premium to mass-market categories such as Britannia Marie and Good Day, thus reaching a wider range of consumers.

The Campbell Soup Company has a share of between 10-15% of the entire industry with its Pepperidge Farm brand. The name Pepperidge Farm established a premium segment by having such names as Milano, Sausalito, and so on. Ferrero Group, with 8-12% of the industry share, focuses only on luxury high-end industries for quality cookies under the brand Ferrero Rocher, appealing to rich consumers.

PepsiCo Inc. holds 7-10% and uses its Quaker brand to target health-conscious consumers with cookies providing possible nutritional benefits. Other than launching major companies like McKee Foods and Nestlé to the closest rivalry, these companies enjoy their competitive edge through continued innovations, expansion through industry penetration, and diversification of portfolios.

Key Market Players

• Mondelez International
• Britannia Industries Ltd.
• Campbell Soup Company
• Ferrero Group
• PepsiCo Inc.
• McKee Foods Corporation
• Nestlé S.A.
• General Mills, Inc.
• The Hershey Company
• Bahlsen GmbH & Co. KG

Segmentation

• By Type :

  • Bar
  • Molded
  • Rolled
  • Drop
  • Others

• By Distribution Channel :

  • Offline
  • Online

• By Region :

  • North America
  • Europe
  • Asia Pacific
  • Latin America
  • Middle East & Africa (MEA)